In the March barometer, a decrease in political support was recorded with 14-18 seats less and an 8.8% drop. The PSOE remains the second political force with 115 seats (28.2%) and reflects a decrease of six seats since July 2023 (31.7%). Compared to the results in October, the PSOE stays within a range of 110-116 seats and 28.4%. Meanwhile, the Popular Party would be the most voted force in elections held today, reaching 147 seats (34.1%), ten more than in the July 2023 elections.
In this same line, the survey reveals that the sum of seats for the PSOE and the PP would reach 187, 17 more than currently in the Lower House. Despite this, the PP, led by Alberto Núñez Feijóo, suffers a noticeable decline in recent months compared to the March results, where it achieved a range of 159-165 seats (37.9%). In contrast, Vox is the party that benefits, with 40 seats (12.9%), seven more than currently.
On the other hand, in the Basque Country, new developments are observed with Bildu reaching 8 seats (+2) and the PNV obtaining 6 seats (+1). The survey reflects that national parties are the most affected by the current political situation. In the midst of corruption scandals and judicial adversities, the legislature is engulfed in maximum instability. Regarding the evaluation of leaders, Santiago Abascal is the highest rated among his voters with a 7.6.
The survey also shows that 60% of citizens believe that the Attorney General should resign, a significant figure that is not a majority among PSOE (40%) and Sumar (35%) voters. If elections were held today, the Government parties would drop compared to the July 2023 elections but would remain stable compared to the GAD3 survey from March. As for the peripheral parties, no major changes are observed in Catalonia and Sumar. Podemos, part of Sumar, obtained 2.4% and 2 seats in the October survey. In summary, a political scenario marked by uncertainty and fatigue of leaders is emerging.
